Castro Faces Long Odds in a Presidential Race--Literally

Julian Castro is widely expected to announce on Saturday that he is a candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States.  But 1200 WOAI news reports the former Mayor and Obama Administration Housing Secretary faces long odds, literally.

The on line book making site "OddsShark" puts Castro well down the pack with a +6000 odds of being elected President in 2020.  If you do the math, that means Castro is given a roughly 1.6% chance of measuring the curtains on the Oval Office in January of 2021.

The two Democrats which are given the best odds of winning by OddsShark are U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Tx) and Sen. Kamela Harris (D-California).  They each are given odds of +1000, or roughly a 9% chance of winning.

Other Democrats who are down with Castro are Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz and global warming crusader Tom Steyer.  Castro's odds of winning, however, are better than Terry McAuliffe, Jeb Bush and quarterback Tom Brady, none of whom have indicated they are considering a run.

Democrats Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are given better odds of grabbing the White House or +1400.

The best odds of all go to the sitting President, Donald Trump at +150, or roughly a 40% chance of victory.  

"Love him or hate him, Donald Trump (+150) knows how to rally Republican voters and it’s continuing to work," OddsShark wrote in its report.  "Day after day there is a firestorm of tweets from and incredulous news reports about the current president, however nothing major enough to shift Trump from being the top Republican in the land."


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