Area of Concern:
Hill Country and along and east of the I-35 corridor.
Threats & Impacts:
Rainfall: Widespread 2-4 inches of rainfall possible late Thursday night through Friday night. Isolated pockets up to 6 inches possible, though confidence on if and where these pockets occur is lower.Flooding: There may be a period Friday afternoon and evening where rainfall rates in some spots could result in minor flooding.
Timing and Overview:
A cold front and potent upper level disturbance will produce widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms Friday and Friday night. 2-4 inches of rain is forecast along and north of a Rocksprings to San Antonio to Hallettsville line. Isolated pockets near 6 inches are possible, however confidence is lower on where this occurs. While we have been relatively dry over the past few weeks and forecast rainfall amounts will be spread out late Thursday night through Friday night, there may be some pockets of rainfall rates in a window Friday afternoon and evening that could produce minor flooding. In addition, there could be a window for strong to severe storms Friday afternoon and evening, however confidence is currently low.Additional updates to rainfall amounts and locations, as well as potential for strong to severe storms, will be coming through the week.
Confidence:
Rain Chances: Very HighRainfall Amounts: Moderate Severe Storms: Low