Can we Expect Rain This Weekend and Next Week?

What We Know:

The system remains disorganized near the Yucatan Peninsula.Environmental conditions are looking less conducive for  tropical cyclone development in the southwest Gulf of Mexico as the area  of disturbed weather moves west-northwest Friday through the weekend.  

The National Hurricane Center has reduced the chance of tropical cyclone  formation during the next 5 days to only 10%.

We do expect an  increase in moisture, tied to the tropical wave, to move into the region  during the upcoming weekend and persist through Wednesday, providing  periods of good rain chances.

Generally a widespread 2-3 inches  of rain is expected Sunday through Wednesday, however isolated pockets  of 5-7 inches are possible. 

It is currently difficult to pinpoint  locations where these pockets could occur. 

Overall, confidence has  increased slightly in this rainfall forecast since yesterday.It  should be stressed this is a rainfall forecast over a 4 day period and  generally speaking significant, widespread flooding concerns are  currently not anticipated given the ongoing drought conditions. 

However,  given the tropical nature of the airmass there could be some pockets  where higher rainfall rates produce minor flooding issues.

Please follow and share only trusted sources, such as forecasts from the experts at the National Hurricane Center ( 

What We Don't Know:

It is too soon to have high confidence on locations where the  isolated heavier pockets of rainfall will occur across South Central  Texas.When We Will Know More:Confidence in rainfall amounts and locations should continue to increase through the weekend.


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