'Marginal' Chace of Severe Storms Today

FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE:

A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected for the region over the next 24 hours. The first round is ongoing as of the writing of this email with a weakening line of storms nearing the Interstate 10 corridor east of Luling, with a second round beginning to develop west of Waco. Both rounds will continue to move towards the east/southeast through the remainder of the morning hours. Stronger cells may be capable of gusty winds, but the overall severe weather threat appears low this morning.

A third round of thunderstorms are expected to develop across West Central Texas this afternoon and push south across the Edwards Plateau and towards the Rio Grande Plains during the evening and overnight hours and into Tuesday morning. This appears to be the best window for severe weather over the next 24 hours. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary threat with these storms, but locally heavy rainfall will also be possible. While thunderstorms are forecast again Tuesday, severe weather is not expected.

Area of Concern and Timing:

Edwards Plateau/ Western Hill Country: 4 PM - 12 AM

Rio Grande Plains: 7 PM - 4 AM

Threats & Impacts:

Winds:Gusts in excess of 60 MPH possible.

Hail: Hail in excess of 1" (quarter-size) possible.

Tornadoes:Tornadoes are not expected with this activity.

Rainfall: Rain totals generally under 1". Isolated amounts up to 2" possible.

Confidence:

Moderate

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