Now that San Antonio Congressman Joaquin Castro has announced he will not run for the U.S. Senate against Republican John Cornyn next year, will his twin brother take on the U.S. Senate race? That's what political analysts are telling News Radio 1200 WOAI.
"Julian Castro is the more outgoing, gregarious of the two Castro brothers," Cal Jillson, the dean of Texas political analysts and a political science professor at SMU, told News Radio 1200 WOAI. He would stand a better chance in a Texas Senate race against John Cornyn, he has gone nowhere in his Presidential race."
Since Castro announced his candidacy for President in January, he has failed to gain traction, and frequently doesn't even appear in polls gauging the top candidates among Democrats.
But Jillson says Julian Castro has the energy, the money, and the organization needed to make a successful run for the U.S. Senate.
"It should be that Julian Castro was running against Cornyn, not running for President of the United States, and it is still possible that Julian Castro could back out of that Presidential race, because it is going nowhere.
Joaquin Castro's announcement was not unexpected. He would be giving up what is essentially a safe lifetime seat in the U.S. Congress to become an underdog in the race for the U.S. Senate. He is now a powerful member of the majority in the U.S. House, where he chairs the influential House Democratic Caucus and has become a key voice on issues like immigration. He actually holds more influence today in the House than he would hold as a rookie member of the minority party in the Senate.
His decision not to run, leaves Air Force veteran M. J. Hegar the only major Democrat candidate for the U.S. Senate next year. Jillson says while Hegar is a credible candidate, who ran a tight race agaisnt popular Republican John Carter last year, winning by a narrow margin in an overwhelmingly Republican district, Castro has far higher name recognition among Texas voters, and having a Hispanic surname would be a major asset in a Texas Democratic Party which is increasingly reliant on minority voters.